[VarlosZ]

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$400 Colts/Broncos under 39.5

Denver's home results this season:

Sep 17 Kansas City Won 9-6
Oct 9 Baltimore Won 13-3
Oct 15 Oakland Won 13-3

Meanwhile the Colts are, as expected, offensive monsters (and rough on the 'D'), but other than Jax they haven't really played against much in the way of Defense. I think we have two chances to win this one, a 34-0 Colts win and another 12-9 Denver kickfest type game. The one chance to lose is a 34-21 Colts "standard" game, but I don't really see that at Denver and I think we have the best of this.

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Maybe, but keep in mind that teams have actually moved the ball pretty well against Denver -- The Bropncos have just been playing out of their minds in the red zone, which is unsustainable. Also keep in mind that Denver has faced some putrid offenses lately.

OTOH, the Colts have actually been slowing down in the red zone, what with the lack of a power running game, so maybe the Broncos can keep it up for one more week. I would still take the Over in this game, though, if I had to choose.