Re: tpgk faces a big bet on the river
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i think a good bit of his range here is a whiffed crai on the turn with 33, kq qt j9 .. and that riv bet screams value, i fold this to an unknown and dont really think to much about it, i think if you weight his hands that he bets on the river (ie not qt,at,t9 tj bc i dont think most ppl turn those hands into bluffs) it leaves you with a very small % of hands you beat, mainly axh or similar FD's, and his other holdings are far more likely imo
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I don't think 33 and q-10 cold call oop on a board like that very often, same goes with any other big hands IMO, so to cold call hed either have to have a draw - j9, kj, or hearts - more hearts in his range and ur getting the right odds so id call, its very possible he has kq also though but i still think ur ahead enough to justify a call. Pretty borderline though as ur asusming that he def bets his busted hearts and his kj, both not certain, but i think likely enough to push this towards a call
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