[drzen]

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maniacs win big hands b/c a) everyone hits a hand sometimes b) bad players pay them off

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If they really are maniacs, don't good players have to pay them off sometimes too?

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this is trivially true. even so, only a very small % of the time, b/c they only hit hands a small % of the time

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Yes. But you expect them to have trash when you play against them, so they have an advantage in being well disguised when they have something. Which is what the OP is afraid of.

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edit: also, note that i'm talking about big pots. sure, good players will dump hands that may be good in smaller pots against a maniac, but when all the money goes in they will be winning the pot the vast majority of the time.

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Well, they ought to be.