Re: A8s turn semibluff
The flop peel is damn close or -EV, depending on our opponent's range.
If we assume he has 66+,A9s+,ATo+,KQs, wich is ~50% equity against typical HJ open (Stox recommendation), we have 20% equity in that flop.
The problem is that we are dominated by 88+,A9s+,ATo (having 0 or 3 outs), and that's 83,51% of his range. Counting 1,5 outs for our redraw, we have less than 5 outs, mostly with negative implied odds (having 8:1). So I would fold (in the heart of the battle I'd probably peel though).
At the Turn he may fold 66, ATs-A9s, ATo and KQs (assume AK-AQ calls a c/r), wich is 25,7% of his range. So if he 2-barrels a lot and fold these hands I like it (we need to fold him less than 15% of the time).
And as Burnsabre said, if you are called hit it, please.
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