Thread: Bad bad turn
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Old 10-30-2007, 01:59 PM
Heisenb3rg Heisenb3rg is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
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Default Re: Bad bad turn

Definitly dont bet...
Im indifferent between a check/fold or a check/call then check/fold the river...

Its likely UTG +1 will call the turn bet if button bets... If you call and button has 88 or whatever, its EXTREMLY unlikely he'll bet his hand into 2 opponenets on the river as a bluff.

We know for sure his hand has decent showdown value and it looks like your showing down (or making a bad play with AK)..

However, does he even have a pocket pair < Q enough for the turn call to be profitable?

I could certaintly see some players calling two cold with a pocket pair, bceause they know you know UTG+1 is a donk, so you may be raising the flop with with AK...

Others will fold..

His preflop range likely includes some suited broadway queens and pairs < T... Hard to give a real estimate how much of those he folds on the flop without knowing the player.

I would probabily call the turn, fold the river...

Fwiw you actually have 4 outs against 22/66
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