[_D&L_]

But your problem isn't completely defined yet.

First, even though u listed the range of hands you believe your opponent is on, you haven't said whether u think that each one of those cominations is equally likely in your mind.


Example 1: more ways to make J2 than 66 so, J2 more weight? Or is he less likely to play/hang in their with J2 despite more ways to make J2o

Example 2: Same number of ways to make JJ as 22, but equal weight? Again, same number of ways to make J2o as JQ off, but again, equal weight?

The second piece of information missing is how you play your other hands. That's why its hard to solve. Maybe we can simplify, and you can simply state your beliefs on whether he will fold or call to your bet. But are your beliefs justified? That depends on how you play your other hands. What other hands could u be holding, and betting with at this point?

P.s. i have a self-written program that takes as input beliefs about two players holdings on the river, and calculates near-optimal play (meaning if you could solve the nash equilibrium, its probably 95% efficient). Work in progress to get it to 100% efficiency.