View Single Post
  #1  
Old 10-01-2007, 02:56 PM
Jailblazers Jailblazers is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 376
Default How to calculate most profitable move???

How do some of you guys solve this problem? This is a made up hand.

You have: 33
Villains range: 22, 66, 77, JJ+, J2o+, 32
# of hands you beat in villains range: 156/165 (may be a little off)

Board: 2-J-3-6-7 (rainbow)

Your opponent bets out $75 into a $125 pot. You both have $500 left in your stacks after the river bet. Right now the pot is $200.

So your options are:

MinRaise to 150: Villain calls with every hand in his range, and will re-raise all-in with 22, 66, 77 and JJ.

Raise to 200: Villain folds J4, J5, J8, J9, and JT. Re-raises all-in with 22, 66, 77, and JJ. Calls with every other hand.

Raise to 300: Villain folds J4, J5, J8, J9, JT, JQ, JK, AJ.
Re-raise all-in with 22, 66, 77, and JJ. Calls every other hand.

Raise all-in to 500: Villain folds J2, J3, J4, J5, J8, J9, JT, JQ, JK, AJ, 32, and QQ+. Villain calls with J6, J7, 22, 66, 77, JJ.

1. Can somebody do the math to find out how much profit (or negative profit) each move would make? Showing work would be GREATLY appreciated.

2. Also, for you high stakes players. Do you do this kind of math in your head for every hand? every street? It seems like this would be a ton of stuff to calculate in your head, but if done right, it would create a ton of profit.

Edit: If no one wants to solve this, just show the equations and the "tools" to do this and I will be satisfied.
Reply With Quote