[The Bryce]

Cartman is saying you should try and make a speculative read and I'm saying that you don't have enough data to make any sort of substantial speculation: aka shot in the dark. I'm further saying that it all boils down to experience: in this hand you don't have enough experience with what people do here in general given this "class" of player (weird spot = too small a sample size) and you don't have enough experience with the player to make any sense of the data available. I'm then saying that this sort of speculative-judgment oriented discussion isn't productive, because it does hinge on experience and open discussion isn't really a substitute for that. Most likely no one's played this spot a few hundred times in the context set by the data in the OP. The best you can do here is "players in general are sometimes stupid so I should get to showdown."