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Old 09-03-2007, 03:02 AM
Big Limpin Big Limpin is offline
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Default Re: 5 card draw question about taking only two

...meaning your chance of ending up with precisely 2pr will be higher, however this comes from the lessened probabilty of trips; overall you improve less, ldo.

OP, whether u always d(2), always d(3), or some of both, won't make hardly a lick of difference in your winrate. d(3) gives u a slightly better average showdown hand, d(2) makes it slightly more likely your opponent will misplay his hand. not a whole lot between them, remember you are still gonna miss most of the time no matter how many you draw. what IS important is to align your drawing on these type of hands with how you play your XX/A, AA/X, trips, or whatever, and with how your opponent reacts. I personaaly d(3) the vast majority of times, but versus certain opponents, or if the action has gone a certain way, i'll see d(2) as the +EV thing to do. I could never explain in words when and why, its an expierience/feel thing i guess. But im certain anyone advising you to "always d(3)" is being overly simplistic.

something that will have a much greater effect on yr winrate is how you adapt to an opponent who routinely d(2). it can be tricky as [censored] if you don't observe/notetake well.

You'll find most "good" players prefer to d(3) because: i) they aren't in there with shorts very much in the first place, so needn't d(2) on their good pairs as a foil for other times they have bad pairs, ii) good players tend to play versus at least decent opponents, ones who you can give credit for putting you on a range even before u draw, so you arent fooling/confusing them near as much as you would versus a fish, and iii) you'll get WAY more action when you draw into monsters if your opponent saw you d(3).
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