Re: Odds Question(razZ)
Well, you will improve your hand with any A, 3, 5, 6, 7 - we'll leave out 9s because your hand may or may not be better than his current hand. That's 25 outs. There are 39 unknown cards, so 25/39 of them will help you, and that's good. Let's call it 25/40 = 62.5%
However, a similar number helps your opponent. So
62% you improve
- 62% of these he redraws better (38.5% of total outcomes)
- 38% of the time you're now ahead, barely
38% of the time, you don't improve, in which case you must fold
So, 76% of the 6th st outcomes are bad for you, so about 25% are OK, meaning that you have 3:1 odds to improve better than your opponent. As such, this pot is giving you odds to call.
Even when you improve you'll lose this hand pretty often on the river, but that's life.
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