Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st
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Wish we had units for those #s you posted - could be that % was built into the moneylines already.
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Right for instance, take tonight's game where the system suggests fading LA. That would mean playing SJ at -220 (best line at covers). The break even win rate at -220 is about 67%. The data from the system suggests that fading LA is about a 63.7% chance of winning. That makes tonight a no play on SJ. Your would need to find SJ at about -175 to break even.
However what if we look at the other side, playing LA at +185 (bodog). Then we need to win about 35% of the time to break even. LA should win this game 100 - 63.7 = 36.3% of the time according to the data mined. That means LA at +185 could be profitable.
Does this analysis make sense, I'm pretty new to sports betting.
-Falker
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