[WizardAce]

lets assume SB raises with Ax, Kx, 22+:
he has around 40% of the time an ace there or a 9
lets also assume he calls the turn in this case 80% of the time. we give it up on the river if he calls.
he folds 68% of the time we have 131*0,68 = 89
he calls 0,4*0,8 = 32 % of the time we lose (131+190)*0,32=-103, giving a total of -14.