View Single Post
  #10  
Old 10-30-2007, 04:03 PM
Garland Garland is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 2,828
Default Re: ye olde preflop checkup

There was some debate earlier as to whether to call after I raise something like KJs and it comes back 2 more to me against really solid tight opponents. I've given it some extensive thought. After raising and getting 3-bet and then capped, the odds with only 3 players active [which is most likely the case and the basis for my argument] would be anywhere from 10:2 implied to 11.5:2 implied depending on if it's the blind(s) who are involved pre-flop. I still think this particular situation would be a fold [with KJs], although QJs would be a close call and JTs would be a sure call. Strange, eh? Straight draw odds are better with QJs and much better with JTs. AQs, I’m on the fence and am still thinking it’s a close fold.

After careful consideration, I'm going to back off my folding stance on calling 2 more with these hands [domination type hands with flush/straight values] if you’re given odds. My fear of domination was blinding the issue of seeing a flop only with the real intent of making a flush or straight. I will attempt to provide a mental check-list for calling 2 more with what I call “domination heavy suited hands”.

(1) You're getting at least proper odds to flop a draw. Well in your particular case you're 19:2 (including implied 3-bettor is calling one more). Well that's more than good enough for seeing a flush draw alone (8.14:1), and in addition you're also including the odds of flopping a straight draw not to mention trip/two pair combos. There are tons of players, and plenty of chance to get a huge payday. This is a clear cut call.

(2) Suppose you have 2 or 3 really aggressive opponents. Then you have to watch flopping a simple pair and getting involved in a flop raising war. You'll have to have the ability to release even if you only flop top pair and no draw.

(3) I guess it goes with (2), but playing well post-flop helps. Of course if you flop a draw, it's pretty hard to mess it up unless you fold it. But how you deal with Kxx or Jxx (no backdoor draw) flops facing aggression from multiple directions will affect the more borderline pre-flop decisions. In other words, if you’re prone to never release a pair (and hopefully you know yourself well enough you get the sense), you cannot call pre-flop even getting relatively good odds as the post-flop massacre (i.e. reverse implied odds) will erode the pre-flop odds.

Whew. A lot there, but I hope it makes sense.

Garland
Reply With Quote