[LegallyBlind]

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also as a sidenote i think you get more value betting this river then trying to induce a bluff against a typical player with those stats.

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I really thought his stats supported the opposite of this (river AF + WTSD) , could you or anyone else elaborate?

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well i was going on his preflop stats.

River AF and WTSD% can get skewed pretty easily are pretty worthless without a lot of hands. so if you have enough hands to feel confident in those numbers than you would be right in a c/c

but most 40/3ish type players i have had the pleasure of playing dont bluff missed draws enough (especially on an Ace hi board that you have shown strength on. of course thats only if he is even bothering to think about what you might have) to make up for the times they check behind a weak hand that they would have called a river bet with.