Thread: 33 in CO 14xBB
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Old 11-20-2007, 03:05 PM
betgo betgo is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Default Re: 33 in CO 14xBB

This is from a Bax video. He folds it.

I am pretty sure pushing is significantly cEV+. It is standard to push a pp in mid position for 10xBB. Sklansky gives it is cEV+ to push 33 from the SB face up for 28xBB.

In fact though, you are not pushing face up. 44-66 usually fold and AK/AQ almost always call.

You are 37% against a calling range of 77+, ATs+, AJo+, KQs. This is 8% of the hand, so you get called maybe 22% of the time.

You pick up 225 when you steal and lose about 450 when you are called. .78 * 225 - .22 * 450 = +76 chips or 1/2 of a big blind. I can't see how you could work it so it wouldn't be cEV+.

I think pushing is a little better than raise/calling here, but I think that is really the only question, whether to raise/call or push.
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