When Do You Know You\'re Beating This Game?
I was tempted to post this in the B,B & V section, (forgive me for not doing), but I really wanted to get the views of regular small (and medium) stakes limit players.
My question is how many hands you need to get under your belt before you can realistically conclude what your BB/100 win rate is.
I've been playing 3/6-5/10 limit poker for a year or so now, just a few hours per week, but have only been using Poker Tracker for the last three months. I've played around 12,000 hands in that time and, having hovered between 1.4BB and 1.7 BB for a while, my stats have recently plunged to a new low of just under 1.00BB after a horrific session last weekend. I know that 'variance nightmares' have to be accepted, but at what point can I realistically conclude that my win rate is (or isn't!) in the 1.5-2.0 range that it should be?
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