Re: Quick guide to satellite qualifying for big events
That one is impossible to answer without exact stacks. One thing about playing sats correctly is that when the bubble approaches, you must know the exact stacks, blind positions and tendencies of every player at all times.
Aside from that, there are times when if the guy to your left is playing correctly, you will get free chips no matter what he has. You should use those times liberally, because they are literally the difference between winning and losing very very often. Of course, if he's a donk, he might eventually call with KJo for 2/3 of his stack; like I said, know the tendencies.
In general, though, if you're 4'th with 18 to go, stacks are deep (>15 BB average or so) and you lose the seat, something went very wrong.
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