[bbartlog]

On reconsideration I think a repot/push here is OK (though I'm still not sure I would do it myself). Villain doesn't need to fold very often to make this worthwhile. Let's say 20% of the time villain folds (+54000 for you), 50% of the time you're in a 50/50 situation against a hand like A455s or A267s, and 30% of the time you're a 60/40 dog to a hand like A2QQs or AA48s. This makes the play +EV to the tune of about 5K chips. But the odds of elimination are also something like 30-40%, and I'm not sure the small positive expectation justifies the risk at this point in the tourney. Of course the expectation is also very sensitive to my assumptions; if the guy is going to fold 35% of the time it looks a whole lot better...