Re: Does this river bluff work 2/3 the time??
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What are you hoping he folds on the river? What are you representing?
Do you even have to represent anything when he basically cannot call without a straight?
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We're representing very little and if villain is thinking he's definitely calling with less than a straight
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If villain is non-thinking and an unknown, the turn instacall means a marginal hand.
What marginal hand is snap-calling turn that includes a 4 that is also calling river? Most people can't hero call AQ-A7 on the river.
Is AQ-A7 and missed flush draws more than 65% of his range?
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It doesn't matter if his marginal hand includes a 4, he knows we don't have a 4 either.
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