Thread: Average Hands
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  #10  
Old 11-15-2007, 12:26 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: Average Hands

Pantsonfire , your goal is to be the favorite when "called" .

You're the favorite against a random hand , but you're not necessarily the favorite when called .

By the way , q-5 is a coin flip heads up and q-7 is more on the plus side .

Watch what happens when the BB restricts his calling range to the top 40% of hands when you have 20 bb's (he has you covered) .

EV(sb) = 1.5*0.6 +0.4*[20.5*.3723 - 19.5*0.6277 ]
= -0.9432

So shoving with q-7 with 20 bb's is negative EV against the BB who calls with the top 40% of hands .
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