View Single Post
  #23  
Old 04-28-2007, 03:37 PM
Victor Victor is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 11,773
Default Re: 3-Handed 10/20, Part II, Same Villian - Found Two Pair on Turn

"I heavily discount a set of JJs or 88s. If this game plays like a typical 3 handed aggressive game, if you're beat, set of 10s/66s is the most likely holding by villian."

i dont get this at all. why is jj discounted but not 66?

regardless if you put villains range as qq+, 66 and tt we are about 66% favorite. his range is assuredly wider and tends toward hands we are behind. i wouldnt discount jj or 88 at all. i would add jts and possibly jto. throw in aj and kj as well.

2,112 games 0.005 secs 422,400 games/sec

Board: 6d Ts Js 8d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.909% 40.91% 00.00% 864 0.00 { TT+, 88, 66, AJs, KJs, JTs, AJo, KJo, JTo }
Hand 1: 59.091% 59.09% 00.00% 1248 0.00 { Jh8c }

hell, throw in qjo and we are still only 61% favorite. i have no idea where you are pulling your hand ranges or equity estimates from but i think you are way off.
Reply With Quote