[Little John]

[ QUOTE ]
I think I can answer my own question here.

- If I fold I will have 2310 chips worth 16.8% of the prize pool
- If I call and win I will have 4915 chips worth 29.9% of the prize pool
- If I call and lose I will have 355 chips worth 3.1% of the prize pool

Therefore, assuming that opp calls 100% of the time I need to be 51.1% to win against opp's range to make this a good shove over. Against say 99+, AQ+ I'm about 48% to win so have to fold this.

This assumes that opp never ever folds here. Even if he folded 5-10% of the time it would make a big difference. Thoughts?

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm pretty sure opponent folds 0% of the time. and AQ 99 may or may not be in his range.