[raze]

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This is not a break even spot. There is already money in the pot so you would have an overlay. Also, you might lose to the short stack, but beat the larger stack, and get most of your money back.

Paul

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It's true, my example oversimplifies the situation. However, my point is that in a best case scenario we are a slight favourite (unless we're against say two overpairs, but this is much, much more rare than the dozens of spots against draws and better hands OP could be in, similar to the one I demonstrated).

At best, we are a slight favourite plus a small overlay. At worst, we are 4% to win the pot from the flop. Our expectation for a flop call lies somewhere between slight favourite and huge underdog IMO.