Re: Kinda simple Preflop spot v Tmay in 109r
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The "+" in front of 23900 in my cEV formula should be a "-" above, the numbers are right though.
Bakes, if he's opening {77+,AQ+} and calling {JJ+,AK+}, cEV = -728 chips, which is less than a big blind. So you're never making a big mistake shoving here, you're basically just making a super-high variance play which is either barely +cEV or barely -cEV, depending on how wide he's opening.
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I'd be VERY VERY surprised if he's not raising AJ from UTG and such with antes of 1/10th the big blind.
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