[mogwai316]

I think Denver's pass defense is overrated. Most people are looking at only one number - yardage allowed per game, and yes Denver is 1st in the league in that stat. However, they have had far fewer pass attempts against per game than any other team - only 23.0. Basically, because their run defense is so bad, teams haven't needed to pass much against them. Denver is 30th in QB rating against (99.2), and 31st in completion % against (67.4%). They have allowed 1.8 passing touchdowns per game and only made 1.0 interceptions per game. Going deeper than just the raw yardage shows that this is not really an elite pass defense. Favre will throw it ~40 times tonight and put up some numbers.

I'm on GB +145 for 1u, and leaning towards the over.