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Old 10-24-2007, 02:51 PM
bigpooch bigpooch is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 1,330
Default Re: Limit Draw: Draw in Blind Versus Heads Up Raise?

Sorry to hear about your accident! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

When in the BB and just facing one opponent that has open
raised with some range that doesn't include one pair hands
worse than JJ, and you have a flush draw, you need a
reasonable chance of winning by pairing up on your highest
card of your flush draw.

If your opponent is in early position and his worst opening
hand is KK, and if you already have a king, it's a bit less
likely that the opener has only KK and therefore, it's a bit
less likely you can win by pairing up on an ace if you have
an ace-high flush draw. This doesn't seem like much, but I
remember working this out years ago that if you have a flush
draw against a range that is on the low end around JJQ or
so, you want a decent chance of pairing up on your highest
card(s) to make the best hand, so you don't want to have a
card of the rank of a pair that your opponent could have
opened with.

For example, if somehow you knew the opener has QQ or better
and you have a king-high flush draw in the big blind, you
probably should fold if you have a queen since it's about
53% as likely you can win by pairing up compared to the
case when you don't have a queen.
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