[chezlaw]

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Rarely do two propositions have an aproximate equal chance of actually being correct.

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so then, in my example, which is more likely to be correct? "yes" - which the level 1, 3, and 5 logics supported, respectively - or "no" - which the level 2,4, and 6 logics supported? there could be infinite levels of logic.

that one is in reality "more likely" is beside the point. according to my definition of the question, in reality, 1 answer is 100% right and one is 100% wrong. we just don't know which. therefore, to ignorant thinkers like us, the probability is essentially 50-50.

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The ones using the better logic are more likely to be correct but your whole post is misdirected. Clever, wiser people are aware of their ignorance. Its mainly stupid people who are convinced about beliefs without good reason.

chez