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Old 08-28-2007, 05:14 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: Variance revisited HUCASH vs HUTRN

Ohh thx for clearing this up . I'll try to explain it without heavy math .Ohh and by the way , there is less variance playing hucg's then there are playing husng's ; but, it may get tricky if we make the assumption that cash game players are better than sng players .

Suppose you play a $30 heads up match (sng)and your expected win rate is 60%. Likewise , suppose you play with a $30 buy in where the blinds are 0.4 and 0.2 . Note that this is equivalent to playing a $30 sng with starting chips of 1500 and initial blinds at 10-20 . The only difference is that the blinds remain fixed . Now , if we play this cghu until one player loses his buy-in , then it should be clear that the probability you win his buy-in is greater than 60% . This may be equivalent to winning a husng two thirds of the time .

Now what you're saying is true provided that a $x sng is equivalent to a cash game with (x/75)BB and (x/150)Sb.