[Sherman]

With 28 BBs effective, I'd make it 25K to go PF, but making is 40K really isn't that big of a deal.

As played, we have two options:

1) Call all-in. So, we simply need to calculate our equity against villain's hand range. Then figure out how much it costs us and if we are getting the right price (our remaining stack : our remaining stack + the money in the pot already).

Or

2) Fold.

Seems pretty easy to me. Just run the numbers.

So...we have to call 246K to win 301K (1.22:1). So we need about 45% equity against his hand range (probably a little less b/c I don't know what the antes are and didn't include them).

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.106% 38.23% 11.88% 25529440 7931059.00 { AsKd }
Hand 1: 49.894% 38.02% 11.88% 25388298 7931059.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.785% 23.66% 16.13% 10936805 7456889.50 { AsKd }
Hand 1: 60.215% 44.09% 16.13% 20381624 7456889.50 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }

So yeah, depending on his range, I'd say it's pretty close. With antes this might be a shove even if his range is JJ+,AK+.

Sherman