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Old 08-28-2007, 05:05 PM
Dismas Dismas is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Illinois, USA
Posts: 79
Default Re: raising with draws - how much FE needed?

[ QUOTE ]
There is some missing information . How much does your opponent bet into the pot ? Does he make a pot size bet or a two thirds size bet ?

If he makes a pot size bet , then the amount of fold equity required is :

(3SPR-1)/(3SPR+9) = 8/18 = 44.444% so clearly 62% is too high .

[/ QUOTE ]

I over simplified my example calculation. W = the total amount you would win if called times your equity minus your initial stack size. So if your opponent bets into you and you have to call that bet first you have to factor that into the total amount you would win if called. Pot is the size of the pot after you match opponent’s bet.

Example:
You’re stack size is 250 (opponent has you covered).
Initial Pot size is 50.
Villain bets 50.
You call 50.
Pot = 150 = (50 + 50 + 50)
You’re equity if called is 20%.

W = ((Pot) +200 + 200) * .2 ) – 250 = -140
-140 / (-140 ) – Pot = -140 / -290 = .48275
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