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Old 10-13-2007, 12:06 PM
donkeykong2 donkeykong2 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 970
Default How will the games develop?

Do you think they will continue to get tougher or do you think the opposite might come true?
The reasons for them to get tougher are obvious as there is a lot of free information and people just get more experienced when playing longer. Also massively multitabling by rather decent players has become more popular over time so there no need for that many sharks to make the games worse.
These sharks do only play though, if the profit to be made is high enough for them. So if the game gets too bad a lot of them will leave.
Another question is how the supply of fishmoney will change. Gambling can be addictive so the pokerboom will likely have created some degenerates that will continue contributing money while not improving their games.
It is likely things will converge to an equilibrium state after time where the average profits will be fairly constant for a given quality of a player.
Last important thing to mention imo is the opportunities of the players that are already playing (semi)-professional if they decide to stop playing, poker knowledge is not really considered that useful for other things so a lot of these persons may have to stick to poker even if the returns go down (some might be addicted too).
Overall there are a lot of things that determine the profitablity of the games, in the long run only people with extraordinary abilities will be able to sustain above average hourly returns.

How do you think the current state of the game is compared to what to expect in a few years?
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