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Old 11-19-2007, 11:55 AM
Aces McGee Aces McGee is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
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Default Re: Official NBA Season Thread

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I'm not sure why teams ever don't go for the win if they're down by two. Normally a three is worth 1.5x as much as a two, but in that situation it's worth 2x as much (100% chance of winning vs. 50% chance). I'd only go for the tie if someone was completely wide open near the basket.

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good point, furthermore with KG and posey fouled out the Cs would be shorthanded in an overtime period

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The rule of thumb most teams seem to use is to go for the tie at home and the win on the road. This was probably on Garnett's mind when he kicked it to House the possession where Allen airballed his three; KG could have easily laid it in, but Eddie was wide open at the top of the key.

-McGee
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