Re: $1 UB MTT - BB, barely in the money, 2nd pair on the river
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Your concern with a value bet here is that if he comes over the top of you, then you're really stuck. Still, I think a value bet will work here if he has any pair (I'm not giving him credit for an ace because he would have bet). Your kicker isn't great, but you're still beating a ridiculous amount of any range he checked through and would overcall.
Unless you have a compelling reason to not want to give him a chance to raise you, I'm making a bet here thinking if I get called I'm good.
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I gotta agree, bet and hope he hit something non-ace and is taking you for a river steal although i'm probably dumping it if I'm reraised.
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