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Old 10-10-2006, 06:44 AM
aka23 aka23 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 229
Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

[ QUOTE ]
Hi,

I'm in the process of clearing my first ever casino bonus via Blackjack (CON to be exact, using the Crypto strategy from wizardofodds).

I need to wager $4,000. So far I've wagered $350 ($1 at a time) & I'm currently $50 down. That seems ridiculous to me & at that rate I'd lose then entire bonus plus my entire deposit before I even met the WR.

Anyway, here's my question: Is that kind of variance normal for BJ whoring? Never having tried it before I'd like to know if this is typical or unusual. Anecdotal stories welcome.

Thanks
Wado

[/ QUOTE ]

Losing 50 betting units over 350 bets is a little more than 2 standard deviations beyond the average return... unlikely, but not impossible. More detailed BJ variance tables are at http://www.beatingbonuses.com/blackjack.htm .

I've played tens of thousands of hands at casino-on-net and done well above the expected return. I found that progessive betting had some utility, but not enough to confirm anything non-random.
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