[B00T]

Here is another way of what MT2R is saying, or perhaps just restating it.

Lets assume some guy named Squareanni Lamer is the best capper of all time. He hits at 62% lifetime and stood the test of time and this is confirmed true by every authority on the issue ever.

You can make money betting the exact opposite of him as long as the price is right. Say X is playing Y and the spread is 5. Say Squareanni has XTeam -5 -105 and it will hit 62% no matter what. If you can get YTeam +5 at +140, and Squareanni is hitting 62%, you will both be long term winners.

The truth is there is no such thing as Squareanni, but even if there was you can still be ahead in the long run hitting at 38% winners if you are getting the proper price. This is not a practical scenario, but if you can identify small edges and focus on factors outside of the athletes in the game, it only adds to your arsenal.

My math has always been awful and probably off in this example but it doesn't change the point.

When you are fine with betting 5 figures on a team where you don't even know one player on it you officially have lost your training wheels [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]