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Old 12-04-2006, 05:47 PM
shemp shemp is offline
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Default Re: Two Plus Two For Two (Points)

Is there any disparity in the success rates of leading and trailing teams (in the data)? Also, is the 40-45% likelihood of success roughly similar for all teams (conversely, 55-60% defensive failure rate)?

It seems the model in use here is crude enough that it should be one ingredient to the decision, but far from the only one.
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