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Old 09-22-2007, 02:05 AM
[Phill] [Phill] is offline
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Default Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?

Any reads at all?

Personally i prefer a call and evaluate line on the flop, but i dont hate shoving there due to his small stack size - his raise can be just about anything, he might have you as a good size dog with two pair, he might even have the made straight, but id expect to see T9+ a lot of the time.

Ive stoved his range as TT,88-77,ATs-A9s,KTs-K9s,QTs-Q9s,J9s+,T8s+,ATo-A9o,KTo-K9o,QTo-Q9o,J9o+,T9o

If that is accurate your a 51% favourite.

If you cut a lot of the crap out and assign a TT,88-77,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo type range your equity cuts to 46%

Either way, his range has to be as tight as a nun to make it a fold so shoving against just about any reasonable range he can have is good due to the dead money in the pot at the time.
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