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Old 11-28-2007, 08:33 PM
Pokey Pokey is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
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Default Re: Flopped straight. -> ulgy turn+river

This hand is not good.

Preflop is usually a fold, here. You're going to be OOP against a player who likes his hand and you're holding a weak and easily dominated hand -- I would usually just let it go and wait for a better spot.

Flop is TERRIBLE. You've got the betting lead, and checking is extremely suspicious. You flopped the nuts and your holding is extremely vulnerable -- bombs away! Bet whatever you'd normally c-bet with, or possibly even a bit higher if you think you can get away with it. Build that pot fast, and quit screwing around.

As played, the turn looks fine. I'm not really scared by that 9, after all; unless villain flopped a set and decided to slowplay on the scariest board ever, you're still quite safe. Betting is the right choice.

Don't check this river -- it invites bluffs that you really don't want to deal with. I'm betting $10 and probably folding to a push, depending on my read for MP. As played, this is an instafold for me -- I'm not willing to bet that my hand is best 40% of the time, which is what I need to call here.

Had you bet the flop and turn strongly, this would have been an EASY river push. As it stands, I think it's a bet/fold. Given that you checked you pretty much have to call the push, but I'm only checking this river if I have a SOLID read that villain will bluff often and hard when I do so. On this board I just don't want to deal with that kind of bluff.
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