Re: The Well: youtalkfunny
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Also, it could still possibly be +EV to tease NCAA games where the total is very low (say less than 110), but I doubt it.
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It occurs to me that one way to check this (if teasing might be +EV here) is to just look at the moneyline for the game. As an aside, comparing equivalent moneylines for different point spreads would give an idea if any teases could be +EV.
If a game looked like this:
Princeton
at Columbia -4.5 -280
and you assume the moneyline is efficient, then teasing two such games would be +EV (and would be far better than a moneyline parlay).
However, I don't think you could ever see such a steep moneyline for a 4.5 point spread.
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