Re: Observer Q about Papawarbucks hand 200/400
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not if she pays off with K high and that is the majority of her range...
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hmmm, i just stoved it. Still think you lose money on the bet, but it's closer than i'd originally thought. If she occasionally bluffs k-hi when checked to, then i guess betting is ok.
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Combo of:
1) Weight it more heavily towards K-high than ace high since most of the reasonably big aces she'll cap preflop against me.
2) Betting takes away me having to make a decision if I check and she bets. You can never be too certain if it's a 0% or 5% or 20% likelihood she'll bet a K-high on the river.
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