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Old 05-16-2007, 03:50 PM
Keys Myaths Keys Myaths is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 1,132
Default Re: 10nl 6max: Have best hand on river, draw-heavy board, bet or check

I bet.

1. Draws will fold. Let's say, overestimatingly, that 50% of draws would've bet $3 on the river. If there's about 8 possible draws out there, in all situations, we lose $12.

2. Other tens will raise you. If we bet $4, and are raised $12, and they call a push, most likely, at these levels. With JUST the possibility of tens out there, there needs to be ONE other possible ten for us to make a TON more than the draws would've bluffed us for.

We're not even counting the aces.
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