Re: AINV closed end fund?
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I have owned it since $15. Its a good environment for them right now. It would be ugly in a worsening credit environment. Its an OK idea for a conservative portfolio.
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I don't know anything specifically about AINV, but as far as junk bonds go:
a) junk bond default rates are at historical lows and
b) the spread between junk bonds and treasuries are at historical lows
Junk bond investors are currently being paid approximately 3% risk premium over treasuries to invest in the bonds of distressed companies when historically they have received more than that. At this point, I think its more likely that credit defaults go up than down and that the spread between junk and treasuries goes up than down.
In short, I think there is good reason to be bearish on junk bonds, especially in a tightening credit environment and slowing economy.
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