[DpR]

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do a flop equity calc and just compare str8 equities here. i think against most opponents a checkraise here with any 2 is almost even EV, assuming you are drawing dead if he has a hand.

im not saying we should always c/r here, and i def dont, but i think against a button raiser we have far too much equity and good turn checkbehind odds (versus only somewhat bad reverse implied odds, which will only hurt us when he has a king/betterjack etc AND we spike on the turn)

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Equity certainly is meaningfull, but in terms of applying the hot/cold stuff to reality (vs a good player in position), I think a significant discount is in order (ridiculously so if he is going to FSD ace high on the turn).