Thread: DERB
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  #269  
Old 05-11-2005, 02:03 AM
rigoletto rigoletto is offline
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Default Re: DERB

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No according to the math it there is maybe about 5% (not trivial)

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Where does this 5% number come from? I mean, I believe james is probably right and derb is the 'lotto winner' but I think over 100k hands it is much less than 5% that a bad player could win this much. I'd say less than 1% chance. This is the flipping the coin 10000 times and it comes up heads 70% of the time type situation.

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You need a much larger sample than 100K to give him a winning confidence interval of 99%!
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