Re: intuition check
Miles,
he opened from HJ, right? I'd be really surprised if {K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,KTo+,QTo+,Acxc} weren't in his range at least some of the time. My guess is you are about 50/50 vs. his range.
Not sure if that makes your turn play wrong though. I assume he bets a huge part of his range when you check here, hoping you're giving up with an underpair and not wanting to give the donk a free card. The river check is questionable though cuz he probably checks behind with all the middle pair hands (which you assume aren't in his range but I don't see why not).
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