Re: Fancy play
Betting the river is the better play. (pun intended?)
By checking-raising the river:
First, you must count on someone betting the river ... namely the maniac. Now, this guy may be a maniac, but he's just been given the chance of a free showdown vs betting into *two* other opponents.
I agree that he doesn't have a king (otherwise, he'd have raised the turn). However, he may have have a paired Ten with better kicker.
More importantly, though, by check-raising the river, you're very likely pushing the the tight/passive UTG out of the pot. So most of the time, you're putting in two of your own bets here for a chance to win 2 of the Button's bet.
And again, this is only when Button actually bets this river, and you have him beat.
If you just bet the river:
The passive button will likley call, and so too may the Button. Thus you're only risking ONE bet to gain TWO bets.
I realize these aren't the only scnenarios that can occur. For instance, UTG may bet if checked to, or Button may raise you if you lead the river. ... but I feel the above scenarios that I actually covered are by far the most likely.
Adam
|