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Old 10-24-2007, 09:58 PM
Khumalo Khumalo is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 82
Default Re: NL 50 flopped set facing lots of heat

I played a little with ranges using Holdem Ranger, they may be way off, but I attempted to devise BTN's partially on the basis of CO's image. Note that BTN's range is weighted mostly towards overpairs+, with the occasional pair+draw. CO's range might be deemed a little too tight, but I just went with something semi-sane, given his flop action.

Note: 85+ means (85, 86, ... 8A) and the numbers in brackets after, say, JJ(20) means I'm asking the calculator to assign that card combo a 20% total probability of showing up given how the hand was played.

Board: 4d 6h 7s

Hero: 4s4c
CO: {5Ts+, 85+, 55-TT, 67, 56, 57, 53, JJ(20), QQ(20), KK(10), AA(10)}
BTN: {QQ+, JJ(75), TT(40), 99(25), 88, 77, 66, 67, 56(20), 57(20), 53, 58}

Equities: Hero = 43%; CO = 27%; BTN = 30%

So, um, call.


P.S. I have an unfortunate tendency to sometimes miss some obvious element when first making a calc-post, so let me know if you spot anything, and I'll amend.
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