Re: HU rake considerations in split pot games
It's going to have to depend on the size of the pot... obviously if you're past the rake cap it doesn't matter.
If it's not, then do the math and see how it comes out. If P is the size of the pot, and F is the percentage chance he'll fold when you bet, and R is the additional amount you'll lose to rake then you should bet if
F*P*0.5 > R
That is, if you'll win the other half of the pot often enough to pay the extra rake. If the extra rake is 5% of a BB and the pot currently has, say, 5bb in it, then you have
F*5*0.5 > .05
which reduces to
F > .02
So if he'll fold more than 2% of the time (in this case) it's worth a bet.
Personally I think your opponent will fold here approximately never, so ymmv. But heck, misclick rates might be more than 2% for some people.
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