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Old 11-12-2007, 05:21 PM
kaby kaby is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 535
Default Re: NL 100 So i decided to make a stand.. really bad?

wow i made a conceptual/theoretical mistake in my math post and nobody saw/corrected it :/

in a previous post where barrin shoves 88 both me and barrin made the same mistake and nobody corrected us o_O

vs a range of TT+/AQ+

24 combinations fold (AQ AK only 12 each bc we have an ace)
27 combinations call (TT+)

we have 30.5% equity vs his callrange, rounding down for rake etc, and i don't like decimals [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

EV (villain folds) = 49$
EV (villain calls) = .30*(49+65+85) - 85 = 60-85 = -25

EV (shove) = (24*49 + 27*-25)/51 = 9.8$

so once you decide to call pf you really have to shove here


vs a wider range the EV is higher obv, this still doesn't say anything about the preflop call being good/bad though
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