Re: NL 100 So i decided to make a stand.. really bad?
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btw i wouldn't be suprised if this (once you call pf) would be +ev vs a 3betting range of TT+/AQ+ let alone a wider range with more unpaired cards on this flop
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vs a range of TT+/AQ+
24 combinations fold (AQ AK only 12 each bc we have an ace)
27 combinations call (TT+)
we have 30.5% equity vs his callrange, rounding down for rake etc, and i don't like decimals [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
EV (villain folds) = 69$
EV (villain calls) = [30*(69$+85$ (our effective shove) + 65 (his call)) - 70*85$]/100 = 6.2$ this means even when called shoving is +ev!
EV (shove)= (24*69$+27*6$)/51= 35$ !!!!
this is ofcourse huge (so huge i rly think my math is off [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] - check? i got it checked on msn and he didn't see any mistakes) but this is also a very good flop for A3s so the preflop call might still be -ev
the thing is, once you call preflop, you really really really have to shove this flop
i'm gonna calculate vs a 3bet range of QQ+/AK now just for fun ^-^
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